Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 650.480786 730.063151 818.403637 924.257562 1048.331641 1189.986497 1365.143009
2025-02-16 528.250349 632.314608 757.995853 923.019645 1137.097623 1409.840068 1790.957102
2025-02-23 472.218326 588.937685 737.823022 945.675010 1234.991937 1633.985784 2245.584961
2025-03-02 432.747208 557.749008 724.420810 969.253680 1331.145720 1866.242679 2758.809518
2025-03-09 397.011279 525.469122 703.055414 975.216924 1398.628699 2064.049690 3262.274948
2025-03-16 363.893184 492.312455 675.267788 965.896708 1438.448232 2222.178034 3735.289249
2025-03-23 342.749717 473.539849 665.357050 980.950411 1517.171719 2456.636867 4408.029252
2025-03-30 314.239585 441.018275 631.057743 952.213018 1516.809248 2549.818353 4826.887190
2025-04-06 290.227378 413.092364 600.928047 926.203160 1516.335496 2640.950486 5265.848996
2025-04-13 268.270243 386.527691 570.447352 895.853116 1503.004292 2703.452376 5657.541090
2025-04-20 260.242198 380.994520 573.079035 922.767815 1600.325864 3009.320945 6744.461650
2025-04-27 249.700682 370.551036 566.530538 932.210029 1664.567648 3257.700557 7780.009067
2025-05-04 239.136101 359.816180 559.424769 941.510535 1733.773449 3542.374906 9078.513706
2025-05-11 226.945763 345.599487 545.269156 936.172404 1772.255640 3766.478795 10317.898763
2025-05-18 220.392754 340.290026 546.115012 959.805461 1877.732998 4186.238603 12468.924824
2025-05-25 214.368050 335.383780 547.142893 983.760875 1988.241800 4652.598535 15132.684514
2025-06-01 206.377463 326.457576 539.979232 989.849422 2057.452073 5024.405901 17710.136483
2025-06-08 197.037169 314.521398 526.217429 980.348330 2086.640531 5286.564520 20017.413330
2025-06-15 191.456752 308.947470 524.057275 995.692342 2182.077477 5789.242537 24056.662630
2025-06-22 181.089948 294.059682 502.816206 966.402202 2154.856979 5878.211315 25881.692963
2025-06-29 171.794249 280.650011 483.603017 939.896177 2131.445609 5976.323457 27901.639881
2025-07-06 162.658258 267.084466 463.256500 908.972188 2091.504422 6006.382187 29545.350965
2025-07-13 160.284782 265.997603 467.747170 936.395592 2222.350537 6721.766306 37172.417658